There’s an old rule about early football lines, and it goes like this: get there first. The Monday number is the garage sale at 6 a.m., before the neighbors have had coffee and before anybody notices the good lamp is marked two dollars.

I believe in this rule. I also believe in going back to bed.

This week the rule comes with an asterisk the size of a moving truck. The NFL Week 10 odds went up over the weekend, and the trade deadline arrives Tuesday at 4 p.m. ET. That means a few of these spreads are being priced on rosters that may look different by Wednesday. Add a quarterback availability list that changes by the hour, and you get a slate where a couple of numbers look a little soft and several others look like they’re waiting for a phone call.

Here’s how I’d sort them.

(Lines are DraftKings as of Monday morning, Nov. 9, as reported by CBS Sports, unless noted. They will move. That’s sort of the whole point.)

First: the Sunday night half point is the most interesting number on the board.

The Bengals are 3.5-point favorites at home against the Steelers, and on paper that’s reasonable. Both teams are 6-2. Cincinnati has won four straight, the latest a 34-17 win over Atlanta in Madrid on Sunday morning. And there’s the catch. The Bengals are flying home from Spain to face a division rival that spent last week on its bye. Cincinnati doesn’t get the bye that usually follows an international trip, as Covers’ Jason Logan pointed out. Pittsburgh got the rest. Cincinnati got the passport stamp.

That doesn’t make the Steelers a sure thing in any sense. It makes 3.5 a number worth staring at. The hook matters in a game between two 6-2 teams, and a rest gap is the sort of detail a Monday number doesn’t always fully price. Logan’s own plan is to wait and see if +4 shows up. Whichever way you lean, of everything on these NFL Week 10 odds boards, this is the spread that looks a touch generous to the team that got to put its feet up.

Second: whatever was soft about Lions-Patriots has already been eaten.

For a game in Munich at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (a perfectly civilized hour for football, if you happen to live in Munich), this line has done a lot of traveling before anyone boards a plane. According to CBS, New England opened as a 1.5-point favorite. By Monday morning Detroit was laying 2.5, with the total at 50.5. That’s a four-point swing on the side before a single practice.

Was the opener soft?

The market apparently thought so, and it acted with real dispatch. That’s the trouble with early value: once it’s gone, it’s gone, and there’s no customer-service desk to complain to. At Lions -2.5, I don’t see much left to rescue. File this one under “watch,” mostly out of respect.

Third: Rams-Cardinals already priced a guess, and a guess isn’t news.

The Rams opened as 8.5-point favorites at Arizona and were down to 7 by Monday morning (SI’s DraftKings listing had 7.5). CBS suggests the move could be tied to Puka Nacua, who hurt his knee on the Rams’ final offensive play Sunday and whose Week 10 status is uncertain. I’m not going to guess about a knee. The line, to its credit or not, already did, to the tune of a point and a half.

Arizona has unsettled business of its own. The Cardinals traded quarterback Jacoby Brissett to Baltimore, and Covers says they’re now working with Gardner Minshew or rookie Carson Beck. CBS adds that Arizona could move more pieces before Tuesday. That’s a lot of open questions for a number that has already moved once. I’d wait until the Rams say something official. If the seven moves again, at least you’ll know why.

Fourth: Seahawks-Raiders is a quarterback question with a football game attached.

Seattle is a 3-point road favorite in Las Vegas. Sam Darnold missed Week 9 with a quad injury and is “reportedly not a lock to return in Week 10,” per CBS. Drew Lock, next in line, has an oblique injury and an uncertain Week 10 status. On the other sideline, CBS notes that if the Raiders trade Kirk Cousins before the deadline, Fernando Mendoza would make his first career start.

So both teams could start someone other than the quarterback you’d assume, and the spread sits on exactly 3, the most important number in the sport. Asking it to hold still this week is like asking a houseplant to stay put during a move. I wouldn’t touch this until Tuesday afternoon at the earliest, and maybe not until somebody steps up to a podium.

Fifth: Dolphins-Colts is waiting on one running back’s mailing address.

Colts -2.5 against Miami looks ordinary, which is exactly what makes it suspicious. CBS flags it as a line that could move depending on whether Indianapolis trades Jonathan Taylor, and as of Monday morning that was still an open question. (The same piece says the latest reports have Daniel Jones staying put.) A number sitting half a point under a field goal can be nudged off its perch by a single transaction. The deadline is Tuesday at 4 p.m. ET. You can find out what happens at 4:01. So can the line.

Sixth: the Chiefs number already went through the field goal.

Kansas City opened at -3 in Atlanta and was -3.5 by Monday. Patrick Mahomes hurt his elbow in Week 9 and finished the game, and CBS reports the MRI news was good. The Falcons are coming home from the same Madrid trip as the Bengals, minus the win. If there was a soft number here, it was the 3, and it lasted about as long as a free sample at the grocery store. What’s left is a fair-looking price, not a bargain.

None of this is a promise. Lines are opinions with a deposit attached, and every one of these could look different by Wednesday, which is the strongest argument for patience I can make with a straight face.

The garage-sale rule still mostly holds. Get there early. Just be aware that this week, the good lamp might get traded to Baltimore before you reach the driveway.