Statuses and lines as of the morning of Monday, Nov. 9, 2026. Prices move. Check your book before you bet.

The NFL injury report for Week 10 doesn’t officially exist yet. The first practice reports come out Wednesday.

The betting market didn’t wait for it.

Seattle opened as a 7.5-point favorite in Las Vegas on DraftKings’ lookahead line. By Monday it was laying 3.

That’s a four-and-a-half-point swing against a team that just won 17-3.

Kansas City’s quarterback walked off the field Sunday with his throwing arm hanging at his side. The Chiefs went from 3-point favorites in Atlanta to 3.5.

So one quarterback room got marked down hard, and the most famous right elbow in football barely got a shrug.

That’s where the board stands on Monday. Most of what’s open is already in the price.

One item isn’t. It’s Puka Nacua’s knee, and it gets settled before anybody puts on a helmet this week.

STILL OPEN, STILL PRICED

Nacua got hurt on the Rams’ last offensive snap of a 20-13 win over Washington, a five-yard run on third-and-11 with 1:44 left… Before that he’d caught 14 of 19 targets for 150 yards and a touchdown, which makes the play call a fair thing to argue about over a beer… The MRI is Monday. ESPN reports the team doesn’t believe the ACL is torn, and that’s as far as anyone should go until the result is out… Davante Adams is already on injured reserve with a hamstring… The line has started to move anyway. CBS has the Rams opening at 8.5 at DraftKings and sitting at 7 Monday morning, and FanDuel opened at 7.5… Yahoo’s opening-odds writer put it plainly: the 7.5 “seems even less likely for the Rams to cover” if Nacua sits… My view: the point and a half that’s already come off is a deposit, not the full bill. If he’s out, the number has room to keep sliding. If he’s cleared, the people who sold the Rams early sold at a discount… Either way, any Rams receiving prop posted before the MRI news is a guess.

Seattle is the opposite case. The market has already done the work… Sam Darnold missed Week 9 with a quad injury, and CBS calls him “not a lock to return in Week 10″… Drew Lock made his second start of the year, went 19 of 28 for 175 yards and a touchdown, and hurt his oblique in the second half… Mike Macdonald, after the game: “Unfortunately, it seems like it’s kind of up in the air right now.”… Lock, asked if he was confident he’d play: “Yeah. Yeah.”… Behind them is Jalen Milroe, a 2025 third-round pick who hasn’t made a regular-season start… That’s how a 7.5 turns into a 3. Unless Wednesday’s report surprises everyone, chasing this number now means buying news the market has already marked down.

Mahomes is the one the market refuses to worry about… Jets rookie David Bailey hit his right elbow as he threw late in the first half. The Jets recovered the fumble. Mahomes came back and went 23 of 31 for 242 yards and two touchdowns, both to Kenneth Walker III… The MRI showed no significant injury, according to ESPN, and he’ll be watched for swelling… Mahomes: “That will be important this week is kind of getting the swelling and the fluid out of it so I can be ready to go from the first snap next week.”… The spread moved toward Kansas City. The market has decided he plays, and so far nothing reported says otherwise… One small thing the elbow headlines skip: CBS has the Chiefs at 1-3 against the spread on the road this year.

ONE GAME, TWO QUESTION MARKS

Vikings at Packers has a question mark on both sidelines, which is one more than a bettor wants… Josh Jacobs broke the ring finger on his right hand on a first-quarter stiff-arm in the 45-27 win over New England. He finished with four carries for five yards… Matt LaFleur: “He fractured a finger.” He added that Jacobs was “having a hard time gripping the ball.”… Jacobs is hoping to play through it. Hoping is not a status… Pierre Strong Jr. and Kaleb Johnson combined for 90 rushing yards, 68 of them from Johnson, and the Packers ran for a season-high 129… Here’s the thing. The spread doesn’t care much. Green Bay is -3 with a 42.5 total at DraftKings… The props care a lot. A running back who can’t grip the ball has a rushing number nobody should trust, and Johnson’s number has the most to gain from that.

On the other side is Kyler Murray… He has a hamstring strain from the Week 8 loss to Detroit, reported by NFL Network as Grade 2… Kevin O’Connell, last Thursday: “We don’t believe it to be more than a week-to-week kind of thing right now.”… Carson Wentz starts Monday night against Buffalo. The Vikings were 6-1 going into the week… CBS notes the Green Bay line could move off what happens in that game… So the market gets its next clue on Monday night before it gets a single practice report. It’s a strange week when a quarterback who isn’t playing tonight could move next Sunday’s number.

OFF THE BOARD, FOR NOW

Terrance Ferguson was supposed to come off injured reserve for Week 9. Instead he pulled a hamstring at Friday’s practice… Sean McVay: “He was running just a standard out-cut, felt his hamstring pull and probably be another couple weeks for him.”… The Rams have their bye in Week 11. He isn’t a Week 10 factor, and nobody should price him like one… What he is: one more name off a Rams pass-catching group that has already lost Adams and is waiting on Nacua.

THE ORDER THAT MATTERS

How I’d rank this week’s NFL injury report, by how much each item can still move a number between now and Sunday:

1. Nacua. The only big open question the market hasn’t finished pricing, and the answer comes Monday.
2. Murray, because Monday night tells you more about the Vikings than any practice report will.
3. The Seattle quarterbacks. Huge news, mostly priced. The edge is gone unless Wednesday surprises.
4. Jacobs. A props story, not a spread story.
5. Mahomes. The market has already voted.
6. Ferguson. Next week’s story, and next week is a bye.

The first practice reports are Wednesday. Inactives come out Sunday.

Until then, the only number on this board that hasn’t caught up is the Rams’.